What a MEGA Week. And Happy Chinese New Year to you!
Happy Chinese New Year!! 🧧
Note: This is my personal journal of what happened this week and how I navigated it, shared with you guys.
Although this has been a great week (so far), it has also been mentally draining to sift through the intense news/tape bombs that we’re bombarded with almost on a daily basis.
I don’t know how other trading influencers make markets seem so easy to navigate. I’m going to be honest: some weeks in markets for me are let’s just say breathtakingly good. But I am not going to make it seem easy. I’m going to say what needs to be said: trading is HARD. It stresses the shit out of me sometimes (excuse my language). I just try to suppress my feelings of fear as a human.
Even if I realize trading profits of $15,000+ in a week (like this week), if the market was as volatile as it is this week, I end the week drained and tired.
I do sincerely think this week was so tumultuous it deserves a recap (Most weeks don’t need a recap tbh). Given that we were lucky enough (yes, I’ll just attribute it to luck) to survive this week and make a few bucks while the world was “falling apart on Deepseek Monday”, I’ll again be doing a special deal because it was such a big week for us. It also happens to be Chinese New Year, so I wish you good health and prosperity this year.
Let’s recap:
Last week BEFORE DeepSeek (aka Deep Destruction of NVDA):
I sensed a lot of foolishness as referenced in this note here related to crazy surges in Fartcoin and Trump coin. This made me extremely nervous and I sent out this public note here for everyone:
See that while markets were pinned at highs, I was actually beginning to get afraid that recklessness had found itself into sentiment and that a “big day for Bears was coming”.
I discussed that < 6030 on ES (S&P 500 proxy) and <20480 on NQ (Nasdaq-100 proxy) were very possible once profit-taking steps in.
I made this opinion to our 30,000 public readers, and I truly helped you prepare for a big red candle.
Look, I hate issuing bear commentary, but last week truly warranted it.
Shared this below with private members before “dEEp sEeK” happened.
And well, we know what happened on Monday (-17% decline in NVDA, a near -1000 point drop in Nasdaq-100 at the lows).
Ugh.
Look, DeepSeek is just the narrative to the cause the waterfall selloff. Based on my understanding of the economic/earnings calendar, I’m actually glad it happened on Monday, because if we kept melting up the way we were with no consolidation, I can confidently share my opinion that the crash would not have bounced as easily.
I estimate we could have seen a -400 point drop on the S&P 500 and -2000 point in the Nasdaq-100 in 1-2 sessions if we allowed the rally to go on uninterrupted at last week’s velocity.
WHAT HAPPENED ON THE WASHOUT DAY?
At Monday’s opening bell when fear permeated the market, I checked all my DCF models and they all suggested with about 60-65% confidence that value had re-entered the market for Semiconductors and Big Tech.
So, guys, in times like this, I will NOT be writing long emails that talk about the astrophysics of what the Fed is gonna do, what macro looks like, what earnings might be.
I have to focus on price action. That to me is the only real-time data. My accuracy is about 50% DCF related and 50% price action oriented. I pay excruciating detail to the development of price action candles on multi-timeframes. It whispers to me if this is just the beginning of more pain or if there is light at the end of the tunnel.
I’m trying to help you navigate a fast moving airplane as the pilot. Needed to find the most efficient way possible to say “buckle up”.
At the Monday opening bell, I sent a 30-second voice note: “I’m buying across the board. Big tech. Semiconductors. Everything. Across the board.
Direct shares only. No call options.”
*that’s my fav line btw - direct shares only, no call options*
I then went on a buying spree - snapping up META/MSFT/MU/NVDA/AVGO/SPY/QQQ (mentioned in voice note) and also ORCL/TSM/TXN/MRVL/SOXX (taking additional personal risk) at 100-200 shares each.
By the end of the day, even though I have a high risk tolerance, I was like “um, did I load up too much….”
But I stuck to it and even though things improved only marginally, I was ready to say the statement to my community “OK - this washout was exactly what we needed to clear the path for new highs later.”
And since Monday, we’ve seen the market stage another lock-out rally that only keeps the true believers of the continued uptrend on the train.
Anyone who thought the bull market was over on Monday got stopped out in a nasty way and may have had to pay a premium to get back in.
Fast forward to today, we had ANOTHER opportunity to reload (for trading) on NVDA and MSFT, which I shared in one simple sentence.
This has been a tremendous week. If you’re a member, I will continue to do my best for you. Please allow me to be brief in my messaging. I have a lot of things going on in the background. I can only use the most efficient way possible to send out ideas, whether that me short voice notes or brief messages on Whatsapp.
I will send emails only sparingly. I think I sent ONE email in January - about the Dow not gonna be a turd anymore. And guess what? Dow now at all time highs…..
Almost all of my direct ideas will be on Whatsapp. My focus is pinpointing opportunity and getting you as much of the bull market before it eventually ends.
Because when it ends, even I will stop advocating for buying the dip.
And if I am ready to call the Bear coming, I don’t think you want to ignore that message.
The good news is this: I do not see the real Bear coming out yet.
But we got a warning this week. It’s a taste of how nasty things can get when bear is ready to come out of hibernation and the music stops.
If you’re not yet a member, want to support my work? Members who get the most out of my work have been with me for a long time and see the evolution of my actionable stuff.
Annual plans have the most value and the most time to see my DCF model ideas turn from Concept into Reality. 25% off ends this Sunday.
