Releasing my 2nd Half of December Strategy to Help You (SPX, TSLA, Semis)
Exclusive Content released to Public Friends. Relevant for SPX and TSLA shareholders.
Note: My January Strategy Update will be sent to private Substack/Patreon members later on Monday, January 2nd 2023. Enjoy your New Years long weekend!
Public Friends,
I wanted to release my 2nd Half of December Investment Strategy for you to read to help you. It was written and published to Substack/Patreon members on December 13th (after CPI but before Dec FOMC), and captures my thinking of what may happen in the 2nd half of December.
I will also release a recent note I wrote when Tesla reached the 110 region, at which I strongly advocated to Hold as tightly as possible.
In these research notes, you will see the following:
A tremendous opinion on risk-reduction for SPX at 4100 in Mid December. Mega win here given that most folks really care about the S&P 500’s direction. Generally, my success rate with the S&P 500 is high - because the index cannot be as easily manipulated than say a single-name.
Me being too early on TSLA’s recovery (and perhaps too early overall) at 130. Used SPX successful sales to fund TSLA entry. Loss here for now but will hold. Will see what the market has in store for 2023. TSLA is more difficult to call than the SPX given that SPX cannot be as easily moved by just a small group of Players.
On Dec. 27th (TSLA destruction to 107-110): A follow up of Me calling for a tactical Very Strong Hold for TSLA at 107-110 as the most vocal bearish voices made earth-shattering impacts on TSLA shareholders globally. Re-targeted the 125-140 range when TSLA was at 107-110. Now 123 or so.
I avoided TSLA for much of 2022, but initially found the 130 region to be compelling (see why in my notes to members below).
I will show you my premium research whether I am proven correct or if the market disagrees with my views. I’m more focused on my methodology and the quality of my process. By having a very strong process, you stack the edge in your favor.
Our net benefit to members throughout 2022 has been tremendous.
In 2023, I will be creating a new program that helps members generate steady income using Options. Given the nature of the economy in 2023, I believe adding an additional investment strategy for income generation will prove to be incredibly valuable. This will be a serious complimentary tool to stock-selection and macro analysis.
Private Substack/Patreon members will receive a special coupon when the new program is ready. Targeting mid-late Q1 2023. Could be Q2 depending on market conditions.
In the meantime, I’m going to make my 2nd Half December Strategy and TSLA 110 Note public for 48 hours ahead of the New Year to help give everyone exclusive content.
Grab some tea and enjoy my notes.
I recommend only joining our Community if you have an intermediate-term or longer timeframe in mind. My biggest ideas take about 2-4 months to play out.
Given that I’m sharing my premium notes with the public, in return, please share my newsletter with others. I’m doing my part for Good Karma. 😊
Exclusive Content Piece #1: December 2nd Half Strategy (Paywall Removed for Public Friends for 48 Hours until January 2nd)
Exclusive Content Piece #2: TSLA 110 Hold Note with a 125-140 Target - at a moment when MANY TSLA shareholders sold (Paywall Removed for Public Friends for 48 Hours until January 2nd)
Why am I always sharing with you my premium research?
I am a research analyst at heart. Research is my art. 🎨🖼️
I also believe in transparency. Sometimes the market will reward my views well over my expectations (like my biggest China private idea TCOM entry at 23 back in Oct. with a 30 Target. Now 34).
Other times, the market will make me question even my most solid methodologies (TSLA entry at 130ish in Dec with a 150 target. Reiterated a Strong Hold at 110).
Most of all I do this because I want to help you.
In any case, I wish you all Happy New Year! 🎊 🧧 新年快乐 for my friends from HK, Singapore, and Mainland China.
Members will see that I often add to my posting frequency when things get especially more challenging. I’ve gotten many comments that they really appreciate this proactive effort.
That’s the way I do things. I always say I do X.
But I’ll most likely end up doing X + Y + Z for the Community.
There will be more of this proactive effort in 2023.
Stay tuned!
-Larry
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