Critical Macro Update: The Jobs Market Data is Going To Reprice The Entire Market + A New Macro Trade of the East is Emerging

Critical: A Macro Trade from the East is Emerging.

Note: This is a supplemental update in between monthly reports, and is written concisely. This will be an exciting, and eye opening report on a critical, critical macro trend that is now starting in motion.

If you’re a new reader, make sure to follow me on Twitter and Instagram for updates. Be sure to have friends & family be on my public list where I provide thoughtful previews for all readers.

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A regime change is happening in the East, and in this note, I will discuss the opportunity on how Investors can fully prepare themselves for what’s to come (yes this will impact all Global Investors, including U.S. market participants)

Members,

We will discuss macro via the critical jobs data in just a moment.

And later in this note, I will discuss one of the largest Macro trends that is happening as we speak that I believe will soon offer an incredible opportunity for diversification and protection.

First, a recap.

For long-time members of my Community, we are sincerely being rewarded for our patience. My methodology in Intermediate-Term Investing aims for opportunities to materialize from a multi-week/multi-month fashion (with a sweet-spot of 3-6 months). Sometimes the outcomes can arrive sooner, but I budget for ideas to not need more than 9 months. If an idea will require more than a year, I will clearly say so.

What I discuss inside our Community shares the bias/view of how I position. I provide Directional Strategy/Opinions but not Execution guidance (that’s unique to a person’s risk tolerance - I can’t comment on this).

How patience is rewarding us:

• Dow Leader Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) has bounced nicely off my key 150 level. After initial clarity on their talc settlement, JNJ has now reclaimed the 160 level that I believed would occur.

Early March Strategy Note

• Budget Friendly shops WMT, DLTR, and DG have continued to stay strong relative to the market - especially QQQ. Dollar General in particular has bounced nicely from my 195-205 region.

Early March Note

• TLT continues to see the low 100 region act as powerful support in the context of a weakening economy.

Early March Strategy Note

• Advertising Giants Google and Meta have also risen well off March levels where I was incrementally more optimistic and have reached my targets at 100 and 215, respectively.

Early March Strategy Note

• ZIM just paid out a Ex-Dividend of $4 per share. If shareholders wonder why ZIM’s public shares have “fallen”, it’s because this $4/share simply got added back to your cash balance (more info here for educational purposes). Remember that when a company issues a dividend, it’s taken out of the Share Price.

What’s not quite working for me personally at the moment:

• I was positive on CF Industries and Mosaic as inflation hedges. I’m taking heat on these names as my thesis that Geopolitical worries surrounding Russia-Ukraine would keep fertilizer prices elevated and the outlook strong. However, as weak economic data comes in, we are entering a period of Stagflation - which has dampened the enthusiasm on these strong cash flow generating names. I’m not selling at these levels. Holding firm.

• I profited from Gold (GLD) on its path from 170 to 180, a trajectory I shared with members where I saw resistance at 181. But it appears with geopolitical uncertainty, I sold too soon. Gold has run away from me. Now, GLD is 187. I will personally not be chasing this theme - even if there is macro support. I need to see a retracement first back to at least 180 or better. I see Gold as a trade that many people are now attuned too, and therefore, crowded (at least in near-term).

With extensive patience, combined with thoughtful assessment of the macro setup and the technical analysis picture, I aim to strongly help the folks manage risk as best as possible.

With these tactical setups which have been additive to portfolio alpha, it continues to be my mission to help folks find strong risk/reward setups as best as possible.

I consider the setups above to be rather complete, and I am no longer certain that it is fruitful to start new positions at those companies/themes, at these levels we are at today.

As I’m about to discuss - I believe the Economy is rapidly deteriorating, and it won’t be long until the market prices this in.

No, a recession has not been priced into the S&P 500. Not even close.

In this note, I will provide a quick update on my interpretation of important macro data ahead of the Jobs report this Friday.

I will also provide a prelude on an emerging Macro themed trade that is developing in the background.

As you can see, I am always finding new opportunities in the background. I sincerely believe that 2023 is going to be a very, very good year for us.

With many of my ideas now working out in fruition, I am celebrating by providing readers incentives for long-term membership. The longer an Investor is in my Community, the more they will see the ideas/thesis shared play out over time. My ideas take time to play out.

Folks who have the ability to wait for my key levels to materialize will be sincerely rewarded for their patience (very well deserved for them).

Now, let’s discuss this longer-term Macro Trade of the East in this note. This will have significant implications for U.S. investors as well.