Intrinsic Value System

Intrinsic Value System

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Intrinsic Value System
Intrinsic Value System
3/13 Daily Market Note: Post CPI Digestion

3/13 Daily Market Note: Post CPI Digestion

Another big move may be coming shortly

Larry Cheung, CFA
Mar 13, 2024
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Intrinsic Value System
Intrinsic Value System
3/13 Daily Market Note: Post CPI Digestion
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Hey Everyone -

A slow session as markets digest yesterday’s large rally. Our pre-market suggested that today may be a range-bound session and as of this post, that appears to be the case.

3/13 Pre-Market

On the surface, today appears to be a consolidation session. However, underneath the hood, I believe another large move is incoming.

Orderflow data discussed below.

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Traditional candle stick charts are showing range-bound movement today.

But Orderflow on ES (S&P 500 Proxy) shows very strong negative delta (which measures buying/selling imbalance).

Such negative delta is usually a prelude to a short-covering rally or the formation of a selloff.

Folks who are looking for a larger range expansion day will soon get one, I believe.

Some new ideas discussed below.

-Larry


Multi-Timeframe Thinking:

  • Intraday: For tomorrow/Friday, I expect Option Selling to be less favorable than Option buying. Option buying works better when markets move fast.

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